Thursday, August 6, 2009

Big news stories in the 2008 elections -- Looking for you input

I have a ~10 minute favor to ask. It has to do with timelines again*.

I've pulled a list of the top ~200 events from the run-up to last year's presidential elections. (Download it here as an .xlsx file, here as an .xls file, and here as a .txt file) Sometime when you weren't doing anything anyway (e.g. facebook), skim through the list and pick the top 20 or so events that you think were the biggest stories* in the campaign. If there are important stories that you think are missing, you can add them.

When you're done, post your results in the comments section. Here are the rules:
  • By "big news stories," I mean events that did at least one of three things: 1) generated a lot of media buzz, 2) affected public opinion, or 3) evoked a strong response from the campaigns themselves. Any combination of these things qualifies as a news story.
  • Don't do any background research and don't ask anybody else for their opinion. I'm just looking for a gut check on which events were the most important.
  • Don't worry if you aren't a big-time pundit. I'm not either, and they're mostly bluffing anyway.
  • And don't don't don't read other peoples' responses before you post your own -- this will be much more useful and interesting if everyone's ideas are independent.
I'm going to use these responses (anonymously) at a conference coming up in a few weeks. Once the conference is over I'll post some diagnostics and results here so you can see how your intuition stacks up against the wisdom of the crowd.

Like I said, this should only take about 10 minutes or so. Thanks for being part of a convenience sample of the willing!

Some background:
I'm working on a research project using automated content analysis to identify big news stories in archives of media content. The 2008 presidential election is my test case. Basically, I'm throwing a lot of text at the computer and using tricks from computational linguistics to tease out the news stories. It would be neat to be able to do this because 1) news stories are a big part of the way we think about politics, 2) this would make it possible to identify news stories in a replicable way on a grand scale, and 3) complicated algorithms are cool.

Your answers will help me construct a baseline to check how well the algorithm is doing. If the computer finds events that are broadly consistent with human intuition, that's a good sign that it's working. Thanks again for your help.


*PS on my previous post: Chronologic turned out harder than I initially thought! I'm working on ways to weed out some of the ridiculously obscure cards.)

8 comments:

  1. ID
    18
    47
    56
    81
    88
    95
    97
    100
    109
    110
    112
    115
    116
    133
    134
    139
    158
    167
    170
    172
    175
    178
    181
    185
    191


    I came up with 25 events that met one or more of the three critiera.

    I hope this is the for you want the results posted in.

    ReplyDelete
  2. 9
    17
    19
    22
    56
    80
    87
    88
    111
    112
    133
    135
    150
    158
    164
    170
    172
    191
    That's about 20.

    ReplyDelete
  3. ID
    74
    85
    97
    103
    115
    123
    126
    143
    155
    158
    164
    167
    172
    178
    179
    180
    181
    182
    183
    191

    ReplyDelete
  4. 47
    48
    81
    84
    85
    86
    88
    94
    95
    100
    103
    104
    109
    111
    115
    118
    133
    136
    147
    158
    167
    170
    172
    178

    ReplyDelete
  5. I probably would have included more of the early primary debates, but I wasn't sure which was which based on the city. Hope this helps!

    72
    74
    80
    86
    97
    100
    115
    123
    129
    133
    139
    143
    144
    158
    164
    172
    178
    180
    181
    182
    183
    185
    191

    ReplyDelete
  6. 8
    9
    32
    64
    72
    81
    83
    94
    97
    100
    112
    115
    116
    133
    158
    167
    170
    172
    174
    191

    ReplyDelete
  7. Thanks to everyone who posted lists. I'm working on the paper now and will get back to you in a couple weeks with results.

    ReplyDelete